Analisis Ketersediaan Beras di Provinsi Jambi

Fauzi, Rachmat (2022) Analisis Ketersediaan Beras di Provinsi Jambi. S1 thesis, Universitas Jambi.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk: 1) Mendeskripsikan ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi dari tahun 2001-2020. 2) Menganalisis pengaruh luas panen padi, konsumsi beras, harga beras dan stok beras terhadap ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi. 3) Memproyeksikan ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi selama lima tahun kedepan. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder. Untuk mendeskripsikan ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi dari tahun 2001-2020 menggunakan pendekatan deskriptif, selanjutnya untuk menganalisis pengaruh luas panen padi, konsumsi beras, harga beras dan stok beras terhadap ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi menggunakan analisis Regresi Linier Berganda. Sedangkan untuk meramalkan ketersediaan beras menggunakan metode Double Exponential Smoothing. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa secara serentak variabel luas panen padi, konsumsi beras, harga beras dan stok beras berpengaruh terhadap ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi. Secara parsial variabel luas panen padi dan harga beras berpengaruh positif dan signifikan, variabel konsumsi beras berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan serta variabel stok beras berpengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan terhadap ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Jambi. Selanjutnya hasil peramalan ketersediaan beras menunjukkan penurunan selama lima tahun mendatang. Kata Kunci : Ketersediaan Beras, Regresi Linier Berganda, Peramalan. ABSTRACT This study aims to: 1) Describe the availability of rice in Jambi Province from 2001-2020. 2) Analyzing the effect of rice harvested area, rice consumption, the price of rice and rice stock on rice availability in Jambi Province. 3) Projecting the availability of rice in Jambi Province for the next five years. The data used in this research is secondary data. To describe the availability of rice in Jambi Province from 2001-2020 using a descriptive approach, then to analyze the effect of rice harvested area, rice consumption, the price of rice and rice stocks on rice availability in Jambi Province using Multiple Linear Regression analysis. Meanwhile to predict the availability of rice using the Double Exponential Smoothing method. The results of the analysis show that simultaneously the variables of rice harvested area, rice consumption, the price of rice and rice stocks affect the availability of rice in Jambi Province. Partially the rice harvested area and the price of rice have a positive and significant effect, the rice consumption variable has a negative and significant effect and the rice stock variable has a positive but not significant effect on the availability of rice in Jambi Province. Then the results of forecasting the availability of rice show a decline over the next five years. Keywords : Rice Availability, Multiple Linear Regression, Forecasting.

Type:	Thesis (S1)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Ketersediaan Beras, Regresi Linier Berganda, Peramalan
Subjects:	L Education > L Education (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Pertanian > Agribisnis
Depositing User:	FAUZI
Date Deposited:	06 Jun 2022 07:03
Last Modified:	15 Sep 2025 04:09
URI:	https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/34167

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