ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI VOLUME EKSPOR KOPI INDONESIA DI PASAR INTERNASIONAL

Fitri, Lailatul (2022) ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI VOLUME EKSPOR KOPI INDONESIA DI PASAR INTERNASIONAL. S1 thesis, Universitas Jambi.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Subsektor perkebunan Indonesia memiliki peranan yang cukup penting dalam rangka meningkatkan perekonomian nasional. Salah satu komoditi ekspor unggulan subsektor perkebunan adalah biji kopi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk: 1) Menganalisis trend perkembangan volume ekspor kopi Indonesia, harga kopi internasional, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS, konsumsi kopi domestik dan GDP riil negara Amerika Serikat dari tahun 1997-2021, 2) Menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi volume ekspor kopi Indonesia di pasar internasional. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berupa data time series. Periode pengamatan mulai tahun 1997 sampai dengan 2021. Data bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), Kementerian Pertanian, Kementerian Perdagangan, International Coffee Organization (ICO), World Bank, Ditjenbun dan AEKI. Pengolahan data dilakukan dengan menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda. Pengujian statistik dalam penelitian ini menggunakan uji R2, Uji-t, dan Uji-F. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa: 1) Perkembangan volume ekspor kopi Indonesia, harga kopi internasional, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS, konsumsi kopi domestik dan GDP riil negara Amerika Serikat berfluktuasi cenderung meningkat dari tahun 1997-2021. 2) Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi volume ekspor kopi Indonesia adalah harga kopi internasional, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar AS dan GDP riil Amerika Serikat. Kata Kunci : Ekspor, Kopi Indonesia, Regresi Linier Berganda ABSTRACT Plantation sub-sector has an important contribution in to Indonesian Gross Domestic Product national economy. One of the leading export commodities of the plantation sub-sector is coffee beans. The study, is aimed to: 1) Analyze the trend of Indonesian coffee export volume, international coffee prices, rupiah exchange rate, domestic coffee consumption and the real GDP of the United States of America from 2014. 1997-2021, 2) Analyzing the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian coffee exports in the international market. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data. The observation period is from 1997 to 2021. The data are sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Trade, International Coffee Organization (ICO), World Bank, Directorate General of Plantation and AEKI. Data processing was carried out using multiple linear regression. Statistical testing in this study used the R2 test, t-test, and F-test. The results showed that: 1) The development of Indonesian coffee export volume, international coffee prices, rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, domestic coffee consumption and real GDP fluctuated in the United States tended to increase from 1997-2021. 2) The factors that affect the volume of Indonesian coffee exports are international coffee prices, the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar and the real GDP of the United States. Keywords: Export, Indonesian Coffee, Multiple Linear Regression

Type:	Thesis (S1)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Export, Indonesian Coffee, Multiple Linear Regression
Subjects:	S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Pertanian > Agribisnis
Depositing User:	Fitri
Date Deposited:	01 Aug 2022 06:42
Last Modified:	01 Aug 2022 06:42
URI:	https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/38230

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