DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA PERIODE 1995-2021 (PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL)

pasaribu, masta naonom (2022) DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA PERIODE 1995-2021 (PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL). S1 thesis, Universitas Jambi.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Tujuan penelitian ini adalah: 1) untuk menganalisis perkembangan ekonomi, PMA, PMDN, ekspor neto, tenaga kerja dan nilai tukar 2) untuk menganalisis pengaruh jangka panjang dan jangka pendek PMA, PMDN, ekspor neto, tenaga kerja dan nilai tukar terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series periode 1995-2021 dengan metode analisis Error Correction Model (ECM) untuk metode analisisnya. Berdasarkan hasil analisis, terdapat hubungan jangka panjang antara pertumbuhan ekonomi, PMA, PMDN, ekspor neto, tenaga kerja dan nilai tukar. Hasil regresi dalam jangka panjang menunjukkan bahwa variabel PMDN, ekspor neto, tenaga kerja dan nilai tukar berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia, sedangkan PMA tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Dalam jangka pendek PMDN, ekspor neto dan nilai tukar berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia, sedangkan PMA dan tenaga kerja tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dalam jangka pendek. Kata Kunci: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, PMA, PMDN, Ekspor Neto, Tenaga Kerja Dan Nilai Tukar, ECM. ABSTRACT The aims of the study this study are: 1) to analyze economic development, FDI, PMDN, net exports, labor and exchange rates 2) to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of FDI, PMDN, net exports, labor and exchange rates on Indonesia's economic growth. This study uses time series data for the period 1995-2021 with the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis method. Based on the results of the analysis, there is a long-term relationship between economic growth, FDI, PMDN, net exports, labor and exchange rates. The regression results in the long term show that the PMDN, net exports, labor and the exchange rate have a significant effect on Indonesia's economic growth, while the FDI has no significant effect on Indonesia's economic growth. In the short term, the PMDN, net exports and the exchange rate have a significant effect on Indonesia's economic growth, while the PMA and labor have no significant effect on Indonesia's economic growth in the short term. Keywords: Economic growth, FDI, PMDN, Net Exports, Labor and Exchange Rate, ECM.

Type:	Thesis (S1)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, PMA, PMDN, Ekspor Neto, Tenaga Kerja dan Nilai Tukar, ECM
Subjects:	L Education > L Education (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User:	Pasaribu
Date Deposited:	15 Dec 2022 02:22
Last Modified:	15 Dec 2022 02:22
URI:	https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/42110

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