DEFISIT APBN INDONESIA DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHINYA

SILALAHI, APNI VETTRA (2023) DEFISIT APBN INDONESIA DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHINYA. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS JAMBI.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk : 1) menganalisis perkembangan defisit APBN Indonesia, paritas daya beli Indonesia, inflasi Indonesia, nilai tukar Rupiah per USD, harga minyak mentah Indonesia, penerimaan pajak. 2) menganalisis pengaruh paritas daya beli Indonesia, inflasi Indonesia, nilai tukar Rupiah per USD, harga minyak mentah Indonesia, penerimaan pajak terhadap defisit APBN Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data runtun waktu (time series), periode penelitian tahun 2000-2021. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode analisis deskriptif dan kuantitatif dengan pendekatan Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Alat analisis data dalam penelitian ini menggunakan regresi linear berganda. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa : 1) selama periode 2000-2021 rata rata perkembangan defisit APBN Indonesia sebesar 63,64%, paritas daya beli Indonesia memiliki rata rata perkembangan sebesar 6,26%, inflasi Indonesia memiliki rata rata perkembangansebesar 6,59%, nilai tukar Rupiah per USD memiliki rata rata perkembangan sebesar4,19%, harga minyak mentah Indonesia memiliki rata rata perkembangan sebesar 7,36% dan penerimaan pajak memiliki rata rata perkembangan sebesar 14,01%. 2) Berdasarkan hasil regresi di peroleh hasil bahwa secara simultan variabel independen berpengaruh signifikan terhadap defisit APBN Indonesia. Secara parsial paritas daya beli Indonesia berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap defisit APBN, sementara harga minyak mentah Indonesia dan penerimaan pajak berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap defisit APBN Indonesia, sedangkan inflasi Indonesia dan nilai tukar Rupiah per USD berpengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan terhadap defisit APBN Indonesia. Kata Kunci : Defsit APBN Indonesia, Paritas Daya Beli Indonesia, Inflasi Indonesia, Nilai Tukar Rupiah per USD, Harga Minyak Mentah Indonesia, Penerimaan Pajak. ABSTRACT This study aims to: 1) analyze the development of Indonesia's state budget deficit, Indonesia's purchasing power parity, Indonesia's inflation, the Rupiah exchange rate per USD, Indonesia's crude oil prices, tax revenues. 2) analyze the effect of Indonesian purchasing power parity, Indonesian inflation, the Rupiah exchange rate per USD, Indonesian crude oil prices, tax revenues on Indonesia's state budget deficit. This study uses time series data, the research period is 2000- 2021. The method used in this study is a descriptive and quantitative analysis method with an Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach. The data analysis tool in this study uses multiple linear regression. The results of this study show that: 1) during the 2000-2021 period, the average development of Indonesia's APBN deficit was 63.64%, Indonesia's purchasing power parity experienced an average development of 6.26%, Indonesia's inflation experienced an average development of 6 .59%, the Rupiah exchange rate per USD has an average growth of 4.19%, Indonesian crude oil prices have an average growth of 7.36% and tax revenues have an average development of 14.01%. 2) Based on the regression results, the results show that simultaneously the independent variables have a significant effect on the decline in the Indonesian state budget. Partially, Indonesia's purchasing power parity has a positive and significant effect on the state budget deficit, while the price of Indonesian crude oil and revenue taxes has a negative and significant effect on the Indonesian state budget deficit, while Indonesian inflation and the Rupiah exchange rate per USD have a positive but not significant effect on the Indonesian state budget deficit. Keywords : Indonesia's State Budget Deficit, Indonesia's Purchasing Power Parity, Indonesia's Inflation, Rupiah Exchange Rate per USD, Indonesia's Crude Oil Price, Tax Revenue.

Type: Thesis (S1)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Defsit APBN Indonesia, Paritas Daya Beli Indonesia, Inflasi Indonesia, Nilai Tukar Rupiah per USD, Harga Minyak Mentah Indonesia, Penerimaan Pajak.
Subjects: L Education > L Education (General)
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User: Silalahi
Date Deposited: 11 Jul 2023 02:26
Last Modified: 11 Jul 2023 02:26
URI: https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/52353

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