Rosa Afrilia Martin, Lanny and Hodijah, Siti and Nurjanah, Rahma (2024) PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH, BI RATE, DAN INFLASI TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA. PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH, BI RATE, DAN INFLASI TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA.
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Abstract
ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis perkembangan dan pengaruh dari jumlah uang beredar, nilai tukar rupiah, bi rate dan inflasi terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan di bursa efek indonesia. Metode yang digunakan pada penelitian ini yaitu error correction model (ecm). Hasil dari penelitian ini yaitu (1) perkembangan ihsg selama periode Januari 2018-Juni 2023 mengalami fluktuasi dan cenderung mengalami penurunan, jumlah uang beredar dan nilai tukar berfluktuasi dan cenderung mengalami tren kenaikan, BI Rate berfluktuasi dan cenderung meningkat, inflasi berfluktuasi dan cenderung menurun dan (2) hasil regresi jangka pendek menunjukkan bahwa variabel jumlah uang beredar dan nilai tukar berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan variabel BI Rate dan inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap IHSG. Untuk jangka panjang variabel jumlah uang beredar, nilai tukar, dan inflasi berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan variabel BI Rate tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap IHSG. Kata Kunci: Jumlah uang beredar, nilai tukar rupiah,BI rate, inflasi ABSTRACT This research aims to analyze the development and influence of the money supply, rupiah exchange rate, bi rate and inflation on the composite stock price index on the Indonesian stock exchange. The method used in this research is the error correction model (ECM). The results of this research are that (1) the development of the ihsg during the period January 2018-June 2023 experienced fluctuations and tended to decrease, the money supply and exchange rate fluctuated and tended to experience an upward trend, the BI Rate fluctuated and tended to increase, inflation fluctuated and tended to decrease and (2) Short- term regression shows that the money supply and exchange rate variables have a significant effect, while the BI Rate and inflation variables do not have a significant effect on the IHSG. In the long term, the money supply, exchange rate and inflation variables have a significant effect, while the BI Rate variable does not have a significant effect on the IHSG. Keywords: composite stock price index, money supply, rupiah exchange rate, bi rate and inflation
Type: | Article |
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Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory |
Depositing User: | Martin |
Date Deposited: | 04 Jun 2024 07:49 |
Last Modified: | 04 Jun 2024 07:49 |
URI: | https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/64399 |
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