ANALISIS DETERMINAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA

Khasanah, Elvi Adila (2024) ANALISIS DETERMINAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA. S1 thesis, univesitas jambi.

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Abstract

Abstract This research aims to analyze the development of GDP, exports, tax revenues, PMA, PMDN, rupiah exchange rate per US dollar, and poverty in Indonesia for the period 1989-2022, and analyze the influence of exports, tax revenues, PMA, PMDN, rupiah exchange rate per US dollar on Indonesia's GDP in 1989-2022 in the long term and short term, as well as analyzing the influence of GDP on poverty in Indonesia in 1989-2022. This research uses time series data and multiple linear regression tools with the Error Correction Model (ECM) regression analysis model. The results of the research show that (1) in the long term and short term, during the period 1989-2022 the development of Indonesia's GDP, exports, tax revenues, PMA, PMDN, the rupiah exchange rate against USD, and poverty generally show a positive trend, with Annual fluctuations are influenced by factors such as economic policy, political stability and global economic conditions, (2) in the long term, exports, tax revenues and PMDN have a significant effect on Indonesia's GDP, while PMA and the exchange rate against the US dollar have no significant effect on Indonesia's GDP, (3) in the short term, exports and PMDN have a significant effect on Indonesia's GDP, while tax revenues, PMA and the exchange rate against the US dollar do not have a significant effect on Indonesia's GDP, (4) the probability value of ECT(t-1) has an effect significant to Indonesia's GDP with a regression coefficient whose sign is negative, (5) Indonesia's GDP has a significant negative effect on the poverty rate in Indonesia, meaning that every increase in GDP will reduce the poverty rate. Keywords: Economic Growth, Indonesian GDP, Exports, Tax Revenue, PMA, PMDN, Exchange Rate, Poverty. Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pekembangan PDB, ekspor, penerimaan pajak, PMA, PMDN, kurs rupiah per dolar Amerika, dan kemiskinan di Indonesia periode tahun 1989-2022, dan menganalisis pengaruh ekspor, penerimaan pajak, PMA, PMDN, kurs rupiah per dolar Amerika terhadap PDB Indonesia tahun 1989-2022 dalam jangka panjang dan jangka pendek, serta menganalisis pengaruh PDB terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia tahun 1989-2022. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series dan alat regresi linier berganda dengan model analisis regresi Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil dari penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) dalam jangka panjang dan jangka pendek, selama periode tahun 1989-2022 perkembangan PDB Indonesia, ekspor, penerimaan pajak, PMA, PMDN, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap USD, dan kemiskinan secara umum menunjukkan tren yang positif, dengan fluktuasi tahunan yang dipengaruhi oleh faktor-faktor seperti kebijakan ekonomi, stabilitas politik, dan kondisi ekonomi global, (2) dalam jangka panjang, ekspor, penerimaan pajak dan PMDN berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, sedangkan PMA dan nilai tukar terhadap dollar AS tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, (3) dalam jangka pendek, ekspor dan PMDN berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, sedangkan penerimaan pajak, PMA dan nilai tukar terhadap dollar AS tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, (4) nilai probabilitas ECT(t-1) berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia dengan nilai koefisien regresi yang arah tandanya negatif, (5) PDB Indonesia berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadapi angka kemiskinan di Indonesia, artinya setiap kenaikan PDB akan menurunkan angka kemiskinan. Kata kunci: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, PDB Indonesia, Ekspor, Penerimaan Pajak, PMA, PMDN, Nilai Tukar, Kemiskinan.

Type:	Thesis (S1)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Kata kunci: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, PDB Indonesia, Ekspor, Penerimaan Pajak, PMA, PMDN, Nilai Tukar, Kemiskinan.
Subjects:	L Education > L Education (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User:	KHASANAH
Date Deposited:	04 Jul 2024 07:41
Last Modified:	04 Jul 2024 07:42
URI:	https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/66400

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