ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR, KURS DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA

Bake, Putri Ayu (2024) ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR, KURS DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS JAMBI.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis perkembangan ekspor, kurs, utang luar negeri dan cadangan devisa di Indonesia serta pengaruh ekspor, kurs dan utang luar negeri terhadap cadangan devisa di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis deskriptif dan kuantitatif. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder jenis time series kurun waktu tahun 1987-2022, yang berasal dari World Bank, Badan Pusat Statistik dan Bank Indonesia. Data dianalisis menggunakan alat analisis Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan rata-rata perkembangan cadangan devisa Indonesia sebesar 9,72%, rata-rata perkembangan ekspor Indonesia sebesar 9,44%, rata-rata perkembangan kurs Indonesia sebesar 10,13%, dan rata-rata perkembangan utang luar negeri Indonesia sebesar 6,15%. Berdasarkan hasil regresi jangka panjang diketahui bahwa ekspor dan utang luar negeri berpengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia, sedangkan kurs tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia dalam jangka panjang. Kemudian hasil regresi jangka pendek diketahui bahwa ekspor dan utang luar negeri berpengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia, sedangkan kurs tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia dalam jangka pendek. Kata kunci : Cadangan Devisa, Ekspor, Kurs, Utang Luar Negeri ABSTRACT The purpose of this research is to find out and analyze the development of exports, exchange rates, foreign debt and foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia as well as the effect of exports, exchange rates and foreign debt on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. This research uses descriptive and quantitative analysis methods. The data used is secondary data of the time series type from 1987-2022, which comes from the World Bank, the Central Statistics Agency and Bank Indonesia. Data is analyzed using the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis tool. The results showed that the average development of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves was 9.72%, the average development of Indonesia's exports was 9,44%, the average development of Indonesia's exchange rate was 10.13%, and the average development of Indonesia's foreign debt was 6,15%. Based on the results of long-term regression, it is known that exports and foreign debt have a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, while the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in the long term. Then the results of short-term regression are known that exports and foreign debt have a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, while the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in the short term. Keywords : Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exports, Exchange Rate, Foreign Debt

Type:	Thesis (S1)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exports, Exchange Rate, Foreign Debt
Subjects:	L Education > L Education (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User:	BAKE
Date Deposited:	16 Jul 2024 02:19
Last Modified:	16 Jul 2024 02:19
URI:	https://repository.unja.ac.id/id/eprint/67279

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